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Table 2 The influence of the length of the leadership term on the changes in the expenditure structure

From: Institutional inertia, local leadership turnover, and changes in the structure of fiscal expenditure

 

Governor

Secretary of the Provincial Party Committee

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

(5)

(6)

Economic construction

science, education, culture, and health

public security

Economic construction

science, education, culture, and health

public security

Term length

0.226***

0.008***

− 0.003

0.144***

0.004*

− 0.003

Deviation rate from the previous expenditure structure (previous period)

0.387***

0.567***

0.566***

0.474***

0.573***

0.603***

Governor from the central government

− 0.047

− 0.020

0.009

− 0.127

0.010

0.025*

Governor from this province

0.022

− 0.046***

0.001

− 0.094

− 0.014

0.025*

Governor's age

− 0.024***

− 0.002*

0.001

0.006

0.001

0.001

Secretary of the Provincial Party Committee comes from the central government

0.158**

− 0.031***

0.000

0.063

− 0.017

− 0.006

The Secretary of the Provincial Party Committee is from this province

− 0.071

− 0.013

− 0.010

0.075

0.011

− 0.014

The age of the provincial party secretary

0.012

− 0.002

− 0.000

− 0.001

− 0.004***

− 0.001

Urbanization rate

1.679

0.391

0.486**

1.939

0.473*

0.764***

Aging rate

− 8.206***

-0.476

-0.582*

− 1.821

0.029

-0.131

GDP (logarithm)

− 3.192**

− 0.032

0.170

− 0.807

0.038

0.193

Permanent population (logarithm)

− 0.015

0.206

− 0.358***

− 0.408

0.184

− 0.381***

Industrial enterprises (logarithmic)

− 0.086

0.039*

− 0.043**

− 0.099

0.013

− 0.059***

The added value of the primary industry (logarithm)

0.445

− 0.015

− 0.047

0.155

− 0.016

− 0.071*

The added value of the secondary industry (logarithm)

1.335**

0.041

− 0.137*

0.072

− 0.012

− 0.166**

The added value of the tertiary industry (logarithm)

1.009

− 0.034

0.027

0.644

− 0.016

0.017

Constant

7.574

− 1.511

2.786***

3.541

− 1.621

3.204***

Time effect

Control

Control

Control

Control

Control

Control

Individual effect

Control

Control

Control

Control

Control

Control

  1. *p < 0.1, **p < 0.05, ***p < 0.01